Comments on: 2010 Super Bowl Squares Breakdown

By: Big D from Dumont

Big D from Dumont — Sat, 06 Feb 2010 17:07:43 +0000

Thanks for the stats, but with 9 and 9 its safe to say I’m SOL Big D

By: JBB

JBB — Sat, 06 Feb 2010 02:08:30 +0000

Great job! Just what I was looking for.

By: Don

Don — Fri, 05 Feb 2010 22:35:08 +0000

I was feeling good about my squares…

Q1- Saints~ 1 / Colts~ 3
Q2- Saints~ 7 / Colts~ 0
Q3- Saints~ 9 / Colts~ 4
Final- Saints~ 7 / Colts~ 4

until I saw your breakdown.
What a letdown. (for me) Looks like that damn Tim in accounting is going to win it all. I hate him.

By: James

James — Fri, 05 Feb 2010 20:16:56 +0000

If I were to use the probability percentages from the second chart, wouldn’t I cut most of the combinations in half because my square would only be one side of a 7-3 combination? Clearly the 3-3 would not be halved as I’m covered by either team.

By: Andy Frushour

Andy Frushour — Thu, 04 Feb 2010 16:04:57 +0000

tony-

Great question. Let’s remember this data is based on all games for all teams. Some of those teams are high-scoring, some just stink. If you were to only use data for teams that are above-average scorers, I’m guessing our First Quarter would look rather different — a 0-0 1Q may represent 10-10 rather than 0-0.

My personal opinion is that there will be points in the first quarter. But will it be 7-0, 7-3, 7-7, 7-4, 4-4? Who knows? Even though 0-0 may not hit at the 45% 1Q rate that history suggests, my guess is it still probably would hit more frequently than any of the other combos.

I’ll take Saints 10-7 in the first quarter. And if your decision is between 0-0 and 7-7, I’d go with 7-7 (assuming that you’re getting favorable odds for 7-7 over 0-0).

Andy

By: AK

AK — Thu, 04 Feb 2010 15:59:23 +0000

Great stats! Thanks for the in-depth analysis. While I don’t participate in the office-pool, I do like to poke fun of my coworkers who have bad numbers. Ha ha…

Again, great work.

By: uberVU - social comments

uberVU - social comments — Thu, 04 Feb 2010 15:49:08 +0000

Social comments and analytics for this post…

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By: John Meo

John Meo — Thu, 04 Feb 2010 05:06:57 +0000

Thanks for the info, I’m at work and just picked our numbers and your sheet shed alot of light on the scores thanks for the help

By: Free Squares

Free Squares — Wed, 03 Feb 2010 22:31:59 +0000

Website where we can host/join a super bowl square for free
http://www.LiveNFLSquares.com

Some of the site’s features include

Live Scoring with automatic page refreshes, Upload Logo/Picture to your square, Winning Square indicators for each quarter, Automatic Random Number generation, Private squares – only friends you have invited or users who know the passwords can participate in the square, shows the remaining number of squares to be claimed in a square, Email Invites to your friends asking them to join your square pool, Print squares anytime you want, amongst all its Free.

By: Loren

Loren — Tue, 02 Feb 2010 22:32:14 +0000

Thanks for the enlightening article. Numbers, percent and statistics aren’t my strong suit, but it is good to know these values.